Notes
Slide Show
Outline
1
VenturePoint 2001

Company Valuations
in Investment and Divestment Decisions
  • Jelle Sjoerdsma
  • Managing Director
  • Dynamic Equity Limited


  • 23 January 2001
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All Valuations are Subjective

  • Three theoretical approaches to company valuation:


  • Asset valuation -  looking back


  • Market valuation  -  looking around


  • Income valuation  -  looking forward
3
Asset Valuation
  • Company value   =   Assets   -   Liabilities
  • Balance sheet reflects history, not the future
  • Need adjustments to assess current situation
    • bad debts in A/R
    • dead stock and current prices in inventories
    • current market or replacement cost of fixed assets
    • intangible assets: brands and IPR
    • leases and contingent claims
    • pension obligations
  • Many accounting rules are discretionary
  • Adjustments are discretionary
4
Market Valuation
  • Company value   =   market price for comparable companies
  • Most common is P/E valuation
    • adjust for industry / type of business ?
    • adjust for lack of liquidity in non-public companies ?
    • adjust for shareholder influence ?
  • Problems
    • Trinidad is very small market, with very few transactions
    • Markets can display irrationality and herd mentality
    • Very few comparable companies
    • Required information often is not public
    • How to value companies without earnings ?
5
Income Valuation
  • Company Value   =   Net Present Value of future income streams


  • Theoretically the best approach


  • Major problems:
  • Which discount rate to calculate NPV ?
    • discount rate should reflect risk !
    • how do you assess risk of private companies or new ventures ?
  • Who has a crystal ball to predict the future ?
6
All Valuations are Subjective
  • Each approach will give a different answer
  • Each answer is theoretically “correct”
  • Every valuation approach in practice requires subjective judgements, adjustments or even predictions
  • Valuation efforts can only give a range of possible values for a company
7
VC Valuations are Negotiated
  • VC investments are based on plans and expectations for future growth
  • Need to asses company value
    • now?
    • in the future?
  • Growth path for typical company
8
VC Stimulates Growth
  • Select companies with unrealised growth potential
  • Extra capital unlocks potential
  • VC firm should add value too
9
VC Valuation Points
  • Pre-Entry Value is current value without VC investment
  • Post-Entry Value is current value after VC investment
  • Exit Value is future value at time of VC exit
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Post-Entry Value Sets Price
  • VC shareholding %  =
    VC Investment   /   Post-Entry Value
  • Discounted NPV of Exit Value sets cap
  • Pre-Entry Value sets floor
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VC Valuations are Negotiated
  • Review Pre-Entry Value
  • Determine how much VC investment is needed
  • Estimate timing of exit
  • Estimate future value at exit
  • Estimate risk
  • Select discount rate
  • Calculate likely NPV of Exit Value
  • Review dividends and other shareholder income
  • Agree Post-Entry Value



12
Advice to Entrepreneurs
  • Provide information to allow all valuation approaches
    • audited financial statements
    • current management accounts
    • future financial projections (P&L, B/S, Cash Flow)
  • Do your homework first
  • Be prepared to negotiate
  • Keep expectations realistic
  • Allow your company to get sufficient capital
  • Go for Growth !