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1
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- Jelle Sjoerdsma
- Managing Director
- Dynamic Equity Limited
- 23 January 2001
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2
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- Three theoretical approaches to company valuation:
- Asset valuation - looking back
- Market valuation - looking around
- Income valuation - looking forward
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3
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- Company value = Assets -
Liabilities
- Balance sheet reflects history, not the future
- Need adjustments to assess current situation
- bad debts in A/R
- dead stock and current prices in inventories
- current market or replacement cost of fixed assets
- intangible assets: brands and IPR
- leases and contingent claims
- pension obligations
- Many accounting rules are discretionary
- Adjustments are discretionary
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4
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- Company value = market price for comparable companies
- Most common is P/E valuation
- adjust for industry / type of business ?
- adjust for lack of liquidity in non-public companies ?
- adjust for shareholder influence ?
- Problems
- Trinidad is very small market, with very few transactions
- Markets can display irrationality and herd mentality
- Very few comparable companies
- Required information often is not public
- How to value companies without earnings ?
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5
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- Company Value = Net Present Value of future income
streams
- Theoretically the best approach
- Major problems:
- Which discount rate to calculate NPV ?
- discount rate should reflect risk !
- how do you assess risk of private companies or new ventures ?
- Who has a crystal ball to predict the future ?
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6
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- Each approach will give a different answer
- Each answer is theoretically “correct”
- Every valuation approach in practice requires subjective judgements,
adjustments or even predictions
- Valuation efforts can only give a range of possible values for a company
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7
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- VC investments are based on plans and expectations for future growth
- Need to asses company value
- Growth path for typical company
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8
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- Select companies with unrealised growth potential
- Extra capital unlocks potential
- VC firm should add value too
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9
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- Pre-Entry Value is current value without VC investment
- Post-Entry Value is current value after VC investment
- Exit Value is future value at time of VC exit
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10
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- VC shareholding % =
VC Investment / Post-Entry Value
- Discounted NPV of Exit Value sets cap
- Pre-Entry Value sets floor
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11
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- Review Pre-Entry Value
- Determine how much VC investment is needed
- Estimate timing of exit
- Estimate future value at exit
- Estimate risk
- Select discount rate
- Calculate likely NPV of Exit Value
- Review dividends and other shareholder income
- Agree Post-Entry Value
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12
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- Provide information to allow all valuation approaches
- audited financial statements
- current management accounts
- future financial projections (P&L, B/S, Cash Flow)
- Do your homework first
- Be prepared to negotiate
- Keep expectations realistic
- Allow your company to get sufficient capital
- Go for Growth !
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